The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Kansas Speedway Sunday at 2:50 p.m. ET for the Hollywood Casino 400. Below, we analyze the Hollywood Casino 400 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.
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Hollywood Casino 400: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:58 a.m. ET.
The Cup Series continues its playoffs at Kansas. Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin (+425 for Sunday’s race) won the first stop this season at Kansas back on July 23, passing Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick (+425) in the closing laps while edging Penske Racing’s Brad Keselowski (+800) for the checkered flag.
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Harvick has posted three wins, nine top 5s and 16 top 10s with 864 laps led in 29 career Cup starts at Kansas. His 9.59 Average-Finish Position leads all active drivers with at least two starts at the track.Rookie Cole Custer made his Kansas Cup debut back in July, and he ended up with an impressive seventh-place finish.JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. has finished 13th or better in each of his past nine Kansas Cup starts, including two wins and five finished of fourth or better.JGR’s
Erik Jones
has finished seventh or better in each of his past five Kansas Cup starts, posting a 5.2 AFP.Who is going to win the Hollywood Casino 400?
TRUEX JR. (+500) has been one of the most consistent Cup drivers at Kansas in recent seasons, including a fourth-place run back on July 23.
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Truex has a 7.7 AFP in his past 10 starts at Kansas, second-best behind Harvick with a minimum of two cup races. He and Harvick each have two victories during the past eight Kansas starts.
HARVICK (+425) is looking for redemption at Kansas after getting edged out in the most recent race there. He heads into the Round of 8 with a 45-point cushion over the fifth-place spot, but he’d obviously like to grab a win and punch his ticket to the final four. With his history at Kansas, he is a good bet as he has finished ninth or better in seven of his past nine Cup starts at the track, including two wins and five top-5 runs.
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If you’re looking for slightly longer odds, KURT BUSCH (+2200) sits in the eighth and final spot in the Round of 8, and he’d love to work his way into the final four. This has been a good track for the elder Busch bro, as he has five top-10 finishes in his past six Cup starts, including a ninth-place run in July. ALEX BOWMAN (+2200), at the same price as Busch, has finished 11th or better in each of his past four Kansas Cup runs, good for a 7.5 AFP. He is also a strong value.
Hollywood Casino 400 long-shot bet
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Wouldn’t it be amazing to see Sunflower State native CLINT BOWYER (+5000) claim checkers in his final Cup start at his home track? He’s a bit of a sentimental pick, although he has posted a respectable 9.0 AFP in his past three Kansas Cup starts.
JONES (+3500) is on the outside looking in for the Cup Series playoffs, but he is a solid value at Kansas. His past five Cup starts in Kansas have resulted in finishes of seventh or better, good for an outstanding 5.2 AFP. What’s not to like?
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